Why Saudi Investment Hasn't Turned The Magpies into Title Contenders

Eddie Howe isn't typically given to histrionics or grand public pronouncements. Based on his usual demeanor, his media briefing following Sunday’s 3-1 defeat qualifies as a furious outburst. His side scored first but West Ham took the lead by the interval, as well as striking the woodwork and having a penalty overturned by VAR, leading Howe to make a triple change at the half-time.

“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” Howe stated. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I think this indicated of our performance level in that moment in the game and it's extremely uncommon for me to have that impression. Actually, I don’t think having done so since I’ve been manager of Newcastle, so I felt the squad required some shaking up at half-time. That’s why I did those decisions.”

Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth all came off at half-time and the team managed to steady to an extent in the latter period, but never really looking like they could fight back into the contest against a side that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine league matches. Given how packed the middle of the standings is, with a mere three-point gap separating third from 11th, and a nine-point margin between second and 17th, a sequence of 12 points from 10 games has not placed Newcastle adrift but, equally, they must not finish the season in thirteenth place.

The Problem of Perception

The challenge to an extent is one of perception. With the Saudi PIF, Newcastle possess the wealthiest backers in the world. The assumption when the PIF bought 80% of the club in 2021 was that it would bring a game-changing impact, similar to Roman Abramovich achieved at Stamford Bridge or Sheikh Mansour had at Manchester City. The difference is that those two investors took over prior to the advent of financial fair play rules (and the current allegations against Manchester City concern whether they violated those guidelines after they were in place).

Profit and sustainability regulations limit the ability of owners, no matter how wealthy, to spend money on their squads and therefore likely might have hindered every Middle Eastern effort to elevate the team to the level of City. But there is no need for Newcastle’s expenditure to have been so restrained as it has been; they could have spent more and stayed inside the limit – or simply taken a relatively meagre European fine since their major problem is primarily with the European than the domestic regulation.

Stadium Investment and Financial Rules

Besides which, infrastructure spending is excluded from Profit and Sustainability calculations; the simplest method to raise income to create more PSR headroom would be to expand or renovate the arena. Given the site of the home ground, with protected structures on multiple sides, practically that probably means constructing an entirely new venue. There was talk in spring of possibly undertaking the short move to a local park – opposition from community organizations might have been surmounted with a promise to build a replacement green space on the existing stadium site – but there has been any progress on that proposal. There has occurred significant retrenchment from the Saudi fund on a range of projects as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the attitude to the football club appears completely in keeping with that strategic shift.

Player Sales Saga

The star striker saga was arose from that tension. A more confident management could have framed his sale as necessary to release funds for additional investment; rather there was a unsuccessful attempt to keep him. This resulted in Newcastle started the campaign amid a sense of disappointment despite the signings of Woltemade, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Anthony Elanga. The opening was indifferent: one win in their first six fixtures.

But it seemed a turning point had been turned. They had won five in six before Sunday, a run that featured convincing wins of Union Saint-Gilloise and Benfica in the Champions League. This explains the display against West Ham was such a shock. The issue maybe is that the team's approach is very aggressive, very high-octane; a minor decrease in intensity can have significant consequences. Perhaps the strain of Premier League, Champions League and Carabao Cup matches, five fixtures in a fortnight, had taken its toll. Woltemade started all five matches and looked especially weary.

The Nature of Contemporary Football

That’s the reality of modern football. Managers have to be ready to rotate. Howe has been unfortunate that Wissa’s injury has meant he is lacking attacking options but, no matter how valid the reasons, Sunday’s showing was unacceptable –especially following taking the lead at a ground primed to turn on its own side.

The Newcastle boss will wish it was merely a temporary setback, an off-day when everybody is off-colour simultaneously, but if the Magpies are to qualify for the European competition next season, not to mention eventually launch an genuine championship bid, they cannot be as inconsistent as this.

Wesley Johnson
Wesley Johnson

Elara is a digital artist and educator with over a decade of experience, known for her vibrant illustrations and tutorials on creative software.